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Gold in December: Every December Since 1971

Gold has risen in 31 of 55 Decembers since 1971 (56%, against 55% for all months), with an average change of +1.1% and a median of +0.4%. Its best December was 1979 (+23.2%) and its worst 2011 (−12.3%). December ranks 4 of 12 by average change.

Rose in
31 of 55
56% (all months 55%)
Average
+1.1%
median +0.4%
Best
+23.2%
1979
Worst
−12.3%
2011
Last 10 years
8 up
2 down

Gold in every December, 1971–2025

% change in the month
+23%−12%1971: 0.0%1972: +2.0%1973: +11.1%1974: +1.4%1975: +1.5%1976: +3.3%1977: +3.1%1978: +16.9%1979: +23.2%1980: −4.8%19801981: −4.1%1982: +4.8%1983: −5.6%1984: −6.3%1985: +0.5%1986: −0.2%1987: −1.7%1988: −2.9%1989: −2.3%1990: +0.4%19901991: −3.6%1992: −0.4%1993: +5.6%1994: 0.0%1995: −0.2%1996: −0.6%1997: −2.2%1998: −2.3%1999: −0.4%2000: +2.0%20002001: +0.4%2002: +8.8%2003: +4.5%2004: −3.9%2005: +3.5%2006: −2.3%2007: +6.4%2008: +6.8%2009: −7.5%2010: +1.6%20102011: −12.3%2012: −4.0%2013: −3.9%2014: +0.7%2015: −0.5%2016: −1.9%2017: +2.6%2018: +4.8%2019: +3.7%2020: +6.7%20202021: +3.1%2022: +4.6%2023: +1.7%2024: −0.6%2025: +2.0%

What happens in January after December

How often January rose after gold ended December higher or lower, compared with all months (55% rose).

After a higher December

Inconclusive
January rose
19 of 31 (61%)
Average January
+3.4%
Median January
+3.2%

After gold ends December higher, January has risen 61% of the time since 1971 (19 of 31), against 55% for all months, with an average change of +3.4% and a median of +3.2%: a difference, but too few cases to rule out chance.

After a lower December

Inconclusive
January rose
12 of 24 (50%)
Average January
+0.5%
Median January
−0.1%

After gold ends December lower, January has risen 50% of the time since 1971 (12 of 24), against 55% for all months, with an average change of +0.5% and a median of −0.1%: no meaningful pattern.

"Momentum" or "rebound" only when the share differs from all months by at least 5 percentage points, with at least 20 cases, and by more than chance would explain (95% confidence); otherwise "inconclusive". With one month a year, most single-month differences are within chance. The same figures for every month together: gold seasonality.

Gold in December, Year by Year

Month-end close and the change in December, with January next to it.

YearClose, end of DecemberDecemberJanuary after
2025$4,341+2.0%+9.3%
2024$2,641−0.6%+6.5%
2023$2,072+1.7%−1.1%
2022$1,826+4.6%+5.7%
2021$1,829+3.1%−1.8%
2020$1,895+6.7%−2.5%
2019$1,520+3.7%+4.2%
2018$1,278+4.8%+3.2%
2017$1,306+2.6%+2.5%
2016$1,151−1.9%+5.2%
2015$1,061−0.5%+5.2%
2014$1,184+0.7%+8.0%
2013$1,202−3.9%+3.1%
2012$1,658−4.0%+0.4%
2011$1,531−12.3%+13.9%
2010$1,406+1.6%−5.6%
2009$1,088−7.5%−0.8%
2008$870+6.8%+5.7%
2007$834+6.4%+10.7%
2006$632−2.3%+2.9%
2005$513+3.5%+10.9%
2004$436−3.9%−3.1%
2003$416+4.5%−4.0%
2002$347+8.8%+5.8%
2001$277+0.4%+2.1%
2000$274+2.0%−3.6%
1999$290−0.4%−2.4%
1998$288−2.3%−0.8%
1997$290−2.2%+5.0%
1996$369−0.6%−6.4%
1995$387−0.2%+4.8%
1994$3830.0%−2.2%
1993$392+5.6%−3.5%
1992$333−0.4%−0.7%
1991$353−3.6%+0.3%
1990$386+0.4%−5.2%
1989$399−2.3%+4.1%
1988$410−2.9%−4.0%
1987$484−1.7%−5.4%
1986$389−0.2%+3.0%
1985$327+0.5%+7.3%
1984$308−6.3%−0.5%
1983$382−5.6%−2.3%
1982$457+4.8%+9.3%
1981$398−4.1%−2.6%
1980$590−4.8%−14.1%
1979$512+23.2%+27.5%
1978$226+16.9%+3.4%
1977$165+3.1%+6.5%
1976$135+3.3%−1.6%
1975$140+1.5%−8.6%
1974$187+1.4%−5.7%
1973$112+11.1%+18.0%
1972$64.90+2.0%+1.7%
1971$43.620.0%+8.1%
Month-end closes from the market-history database (London and COMEX gold prices, US dollars per troy ounce). A month's change is its last close against the previous month's last close. Past patterns are not a reliable guide to any single month.

In the calendar in December

  • Christmas and year-end, when some funds rebalance their portfolios.

Events that fall in the month; they do not explain any single year's move.

Gold by Month

All months →

Gold in December: FAQ

Is December a good month for gold?

Gold has risen in 56% of Decembers since 1971 (31 of 55), against 55% for all months, with an average change of +1.1%. December ranks 4 of 12 months by average change. In the last 10 years it rose 8 times. Seasonal patterns are not a reliable guide to any single year.

What was gold's best December?

1979, when gold rose 23.2%. The worst was 2011 (−12.3%).

What happens to gold in January after a higher December?

After gold ends December higher, January has risen 61% of the time since 1971 (19 of 31), against 55% for all months, with an average change of +3.4% and a median of +3.2%: a difference, but too few cases to rule out chance.

What happens to gold in January after a lower December?

After gold ends December lower, January has risen 50% of the time since 1971 (12 of 24), against 55% for all months, with an average change of +0.5% and a median of −0.1%: no meaningful pattern.

History, not advice: past monthly patterns do not predict any single month. Data to 26 October 2026.

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For essays, articles and research. Prices on this page update daily, so the citations include today's date as the date you accessed it.

APA 7
Corgano. (2026, October 27). Gold in december: every December since 1971. Corgano Gold Price. Retrieved October 27, 2026, from https://goldprice.corgano.com/gold-in-december
MLA 9
“Gold in December: every December since 1971.” Corgano Gold Price, goldprice.corgano.com/gold-in-december. Accessed 27 Oct. 2026.
Chicago
Corgano. “Gold in December: every December since 1971.” Corgano Gold Price. Accessed October 27, 2026. https://goldprice.corgano.com/gold-in-december.
BibTeX
@misc{corgano2026goldindecemberevery, author = {{Corgano}}, title = {Gold in December: every December since 1971}, howpublished = {\url{https://goldprice.corgano.com/gold-in-december}}, year = {2026}, note = {Corgano Gold Price, accessed 2026-10-27}}
Link
Gold in December: every December since 1971 — Corgano Gold Price: https://goldprice.corgano.com/gold-in-december