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Gold in August: Every August Since 1971

Gold has risen in 33 of 56 Augusts since 1971 (59%, against 55% for all months), with an average change of +1.0% and a median of +0.6%. Its best August was 1982 (+20.0%) and its worst 1973 (−10.5%). August ranks 5 of 12 by average change.

Rose in
33 of 56
59% (all months 55%)
Average
+1.0%
median +0.6%
Best
+20.0%
1982
Worst
−10.5%
1973
Last 10 years
7 up
3 down

Gold in every August, 1971–2026

% change in the month
+20%−10%1971: −4.1%1972: −2.1%1973: −10.5%1974: 0.0%1975: −4.1%1976: −7.6%1977: +1.3%1978: +4.2%1979: +6.3%1980: +2.8%19801981: +4.7%1982: +20.0%1983: −1.8%1984: +1.7%1985: +1.8%1986: +7.6%1987: −2.0%1988: −2.1%1989: −2.3%1990: +4.1%19901991: −4.3%1992: −5.0%1993: −7.5%1994: +0.5%1995: −0.3%1996: +0.3%1997: −0.3%1998: −5.3%1999: −0.3%2000: +0.1%20002001: +2.7%2002: +2.7%2003: +5.9%2004: +4.0%2005: +1.0%2006: −1.4%2007: +1.0%2008: −9.3%2009: +1.4%2010: +6.6%20102011: +11.4%2012: +1.6%2013: +6.1%2014: +0.4%2015: +3.4%2016: −3.6%2017: +4.1%2018: −1.9%2019: +6.5%2020: +0.8%20202021: +0.3%2022: −2.1%2023: −0.2%2024: +4.2%2025: +6.8%2026: +9.1%

What happens in September after August

How often September rose after gold ended August higher or lower, compared with all months (55% rose).

After a higher August

Inconclusive
September rose
19 of 33 (58%)
Average September
+2.3%
Median September
+2.4%

After gold ends August higher, September has risen 58% of the time since 1971 (19 of 33), against 55% for all months, with an average change of +2.3% and a median of +2.4%: no meaningful pattern.

After a lower August

Inconclusive
September rose
12 of 22 (55%)
Average September
+0.6%
Median September
+0.5%

After gold ends August lower, September has risen 55% of the time since 1971 (12 of 22), against 55% for all months, with an average change of +0.6% and a median of +0.5%: no meaningful pattern.

"Momentum" or "rebound" only when the share differs from all months by at least 5 percentage points, with at least 20 cases, and by more than chance would explain (95% confidence); otherwise "inconclusive". With one month a year, most single-month differences are within chance. The same figures for every month together: gold seasonality.

Gold in August, Year by Year

Month-end close and the change in August, with September next to it.

YearClose, end of AugustAugustSeptember after
2026$4,482+9.1%−6.6%
2025$3,516+6.8%+10.2%
2024$2,528+4.2%+5.2%
2023$1,966−0.2%−5.1%
2022$1,726−2.1%−3.1%
2021$1,818+0.3%−3.4%
2020$1,979+0.8%−4.2%
2019$1,519+6.5%−3.5%
2018$1,200−1.9%−0.7%
2017$1,321+4.1%−3.0%
2016$1,309−3.6%+0.5%
2015$1,133+3.4%−1.6%
2014$1,287+0.4%−5.9%
2013$1,395+6.1%−4.8%
2012$1,649+1.6%+7.7%
2011$1,814+11.4%−10.7%
2010$1,246+6.6%+4.9%
2009$952+1.4%+4.6%
2008$833−9.3%+6.2%
2007$672+1.0%+10.6%
2006$624−1.4%−3.9%
2005$433+1.0%+9.2%
2004$407+4.0%+2.1%
2003$376+5.9%+3.3%
2002$313+2.7%+3.5%
2001$273+2.7%+7.4%
2000$277+0.1%−1.2%
1999$255−0.3%+17.3%
1998$273−5.3%+7.5%
1997$325−0.3%+2.1%
1996$386+0.3%−1.9%
1995$382−0.3%+0.4%
1994$386+0.5%+2.4%
1993$372−7.5%−4.3%
1992$340−5.0%+2.6%
1991$347−4.3%+2.2%
1990$388+4.1%+5.3%
1989$360−2.3%+1.9%
1988$428−2.1%−7.3%
1987$453−2.0%+1.3%
1986$385+7.6%+10.0%
1985$333+1.8%−2.3%
1984$348+1.7%−1.3%
1983$414−1.8%−2.2%
1982$412+20.0%−3.5%
1981$425+4.7%+0.9%
1980$631+2.8%+5.6%
1979$315+6.3%+26.1%
1978$209+4.2%+4.0%
1977$146+1.3%+5.5%
1976$104−7.6%+11.5%
1975$160−4.1%−11.6%
1974$1560.0%−3.0%
1973$104−10.5%−3.4%
1972$66.88−2.1%−4.0%
1971$40.65−4.1%+4.8%
Month-end closes from the market-history database (London and COMEX gold prices, US dollars per troy ounce). A month's change is its last close against the previous month's last close. Past patterns are not a reliable guide to any single month.

In the calendar in August

  • The Fed's Jackson Hole symposium in late August.

Events that fall in the month; they do not explain any single year's move.

Gold by Month

All months →

Gold in August: FAQ

Is August a good month for gold?

Gold has risen in 59% of Augusts since 1971 (33 of 56), against 55% for all months, with an average change of +1.0%. August ranks 5 of 12 months by average change. In the last 10 years it rose 7 times. Seasonal patterns are not a reliable guide to any single year.

What was gold's best August?

1982, when gold rose 20.0%. The worst was 1973 (−10.5%).

What happens to gold in September after a higher August?

After gold ends August higher, September has risen 58% of the time since 1971 (19 of 33), against 55% for all months, with an average change of +2.3% and a median of +2.4%: no meaningful pattern.

What happens to gold in September after a lower August?

After gold ends August lower, September has risen 55% of the time since 1971 (12 of 22), against 55% for all months, with an average change of +0.6% and a median of +0.5%: no meaningful pattern.

History, not advice: past monthly patterns do not predict any single month. Data to 26 October 2026.

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APA 7
Corgano. (2026, October 27). Gold in august: every August since 1971. Corgano Gold Price. Retrieved October 27, 2026, from https://goldprice.corgano.com/gold-in-august
MLA 9
“Gold in August: every August since 1971.” Corgano Gold Price, goldprice.corgano.com/gold-in-august. Accessed 27 Oct. 2026.
Chicago
Corgano. “Gold in August: every August since 1971.” Corgano Gold Price. Accessed October 27, 2026. https://goldprice.corgano.com/gold-in-august.
BibTeX
@misc{corgano2026goldinaugustevery, author = {{Corgano}}, title = {Gold in August: every August since 1971}, howpublished = {\url{https://goldprice.corgano.com/gold-in-august}}, year = {2026}, note = {Corgano Gold Price, accessed 2026-10-27}}
Link
Gold in August: every August since 1971 — Corgano Gold Price: https://goldprice.corgano.com/gold-in-august